it's 4 mana for 16 damage lol this is really a casual deck
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and you can easily take the mox out for a great furnace and lotus out for the lotus petal which I forgot to include lol
4 cracklands keep you from topdecking mountains so instead of drawing 4 mountains you draw them and get rid of the chance of drawing more lands instead of spells since my most expensive spell is 4 if you include furnace
lol wow you suck at math man probability isn't your strong point huh all those would be 4/60 if you only had one card in your hand the percentage is not that low at all